25 Percent Of All NFL Games Decided By 3 Points Or Less
By Jerry Tapp
Of the 176 games played this season in the NFL (Through Week 12), exactly one-quarter (44) were decided by three points or less. Last weekend, four games were decided by three or less, about average for a typical NFL weekend.
Two teams—the Baltimore Ravens and the Tampa Bay Bucs—have seen six of their 11 games this season decided by three points or less. Both teams have won two of those games and lost four. In addition to the Ravens and Bucs, the Houston Texans have also lost four games by three or fewer points this season.
Let's look back a few seasons, 2010 to be exact. There were 215 games played since the start of the 2010 campaign that were decided by three points or less. The Miami Dolphins lost 14 of those games, most in the league. Dallas is second on the list with 11 losses of three points or less since 2010.
Following is a look at which teams have lost the most games by three points or less since 2010.
10: Buffalo, Detroit
9: Baltimore, San Francisco
8: Arizona, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Houston, Pittsburgh, San Diego, Tampa Bay, Washington
7: Carolina, Green Bay
6: Kansas City, Oakland, Tennessee
5: Indianapolis, New England, Philadelphia, Seattle, St. Louis
4: Atlanta, Chicago, Denver, Minnesota, New Orleans, NY Giants, NY Jets
Five teams have lost more than 40% of their defeats by three points or less since 2010. Leading the way are the Ravens. Of the 20 games they have lost since 2010, nine have been by three points or less (45%). The others: San Francisco 42.9%; New England 41.7%; Miami 41.2%; Green Bay 41.2%. At the bottom of that list are the Jaguars; of their 42 losses since 2010, only three (7.1%) have been by three points or less.