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Early Bets Swing Super Bowl Line

by rob.moreschi
Jan 29, 2014 5:36 PM EST



There are a lot of variables being closely monitored in the lead-up to the big game on Sunday night in MetLife Stadium between the Denver Broncos and the Seattle Seahawks. But between the endless discussion and debate over what the weather will be like, what Richard Sherman will say next, whether Marshawn Lynch will say anything at all, and what Peyton Manning and his brother Eli talk about over family dinners, there's one variable that remains the topic of discussion every year no matter which two teams meet up on Super Bowl Sunday: the betting lines. In the world of sports, when it comes to gambling, there is no event bigger than the Super Bowl. Every year, millions of dollars pass through Las Vegas sports books and casinos all over the country with fans partaking in one of the great Super Bowl traditions. This year, the big game pits the league's top offense against the league's top defense in what many people expect to be a closely contested Super Bowl, on par with some of the great games we've witnessed in past seasons. The early lines have certainly reflected this sentiment. After defeating the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC championship game a little over a week ago, the early Vegas lines had Seattle favored by a point over Denver and by as many as two points in some sports books. However, those early lines would swing dramatically over the course of only a few short hours, as Denver fans (or people who will become Denver fans on Sunday, at the very least) rushed to place some action on Manning and the Broncos. With that early influx of bets for Denver, the line swung in the Broncos' favor, and early last week they were giving a point to Seattle. In the week since, the line has continued to move in Denver's favor, and the most recent lines from the LVH, MGM Mirage and the Wynn all have Denver as 2.5-point favorites as of Tuesday night. And while there may be no truth to the rumors that surfaced yesterday claiming that Floyd "Money" Mayweather placed a $10.4 million bet with several different offshore sports books with the Broncos at -2, you can probably expect to see actual confirmation from Mayweather on at least one outrageous Super Bowl bet in the coming days because Money certainly isn't the kind of person to make a multimillion dollar bet and not tell anyone about it. Bets of that size can certainly help in swinging a line in the days leading up to the game, and as the line continues to fluctuate, it will be interesting to see where it ends up in the coming days as we get closer and closer to kickoff on Sunday evening.