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Week 9 NFL Vegas Picks

By Danny Webster



Will Alex Smith and the Chiefs go to 9-0 this week in Buffalo? Photo by Peter Aiken/Getty Images.
Will Alex Smith and the Chiefs go to 9-0 this week in Buffalo? Photo by Peter Aiken/Getty Images.

Last week's record: 7-5

A relatively better week for last Sunday's games, and I hope you brought home some money. Because if you took a parlay on some of last week's games, there's a good chance you got robbed.

This week could be much kinder, especially in the early slate of games, if you're looking to scoop up some money. But after the last couple of weeks have shown, this could be a money line week. And for all intents and purposes, we're going to avoid the Locks of the Week this week because I'm a combined 2-7 in the last two weeks. Those locks are a bit rusty.

So here's what we're looking at this week.

Atlanta at Carolina (-7.5)

No question, the biggest disappointment this year has been the Falcons and how dismal they've played. After laying an egg in Arizona, Atlanta is in rough water here, and it doesn't help going to Carolina and facing a hot Panthers team. Cam Newton should make quick work of this Atlanta team and should win by at least 10 points.

Take Carolina proudly with that -7.5.

Minnesota at Dallas (-10)

Good news if you're a betting fan last week: The Cowboys covered.

But if you're a Dallas fan, would it really be shocking to see the Vikings come in to AT&T Stadium and win? That's the mindset right now, and even that -10 spread is a little daunting no matter how bad Minnesota is. Might as well risk it.

What have you got to lose?

Take the Cowboys and start praying they cover.

New Orleans (-6) at New York Jets

This one should be quick and painless, especially after the Jets were humiliated in Cincinnati last week.

If you thought the Bengals were scary to that NYJ defense, what do you think Drew Brees will do? Easy pick.

Take the Saints on the money line big time.

Tennessee (-3) at St. Louis

The Rams defense provided a glimmer of hope without Sam Bradford on Monday night, so that temptation is there to take them with the points.

But Tennessee has Jake Locker more than likely coming back this week and in a battle of quarterbacks that you wouldn't take No. 1 overall (Locker vs. Kellen Clemens), Locker should lead the Titans to another win and get back to .500.

Take the Titans even if they're on the road.

Kansas City (-4) at Buffalo

The Bills don't know their quarterback situation. Everyone's getting hurt every week.

This may be another low-scoring battle that the Chiefs are forced into, and should win, but the Bills have made a habit of turning Ralph Wilson Stadium into an environment where undefeated teams struggle. One has to wonder if the Chiefs have reached their tipping point, but Kansas City's defense should do enough against whoever Buffalo's quarterback is.

Take the Chiefs with that -4.

San Diego at Washington (PK)

Very surprised this is a pick 'em, but I can see why. The Chargers have won a couple in a row and have looked really good in certain games. Washington, despite getting blown out in Denver last week, is at home.

This one is tough because it's uncertain which Redskins team will be on the field Sunday. If San Diego can do just enough to rattle Robert Griffin III, the Chargers should win this game, and their defense has played very well this year.

Take the Chargers.

Philadelphia at Oakland (-2.5)

At least I was right on one of my upsets last week with the Raiders, and Terrelle Pryor has brought life back to the city of Oakland. 

Now they get the struggling Eagles this week, and once again, they're not sure who the quarterback is going to be, but at least we know who it will be in Oakland. Pryor with another big day, and the Raiders get to .500 halfway through the season.

Who would've thought that?

Take the Raiders with that 2.5 and slam that money in front of the bettor.

Tampa Bay at Seattle (-16)

The highest spread of the week and this should be an easy week for the Seahawks. They've already covered a big spread before against Jacksonville.

Tampa Bay? They might be just as worse.

Take the Seahawks easily.

Baltimore (-2.5) at Cleveland

The battle of old vs. new. Only both of these versions are terrible. But Baltimore is just good enough to win this game and cover. Cleveland is just that bad.

Take Baltimore and move on.

Pittsburgh at New England (-6.5)

Another team that is just plain bad, Pittsburgh heading into New England to take on Tom Brady is a death wish. Even though the Patriots have been inconsistent, they are the better team at home, where they almost never lose.

Patriots win and cover by a few points.

Indianapolis (-2.5) at Houston

Last year, this game would've been crucial in the AFC South race. Now? The Colts are running away with it. And should run away with this comfortable spread at 2.5.

Andrew Luck and the Colts win rather easily.

Chicago at Green Bay (-10.5)

The Bears may actually keep this closer than one would think. The Packers at home on Monday night should win, but that spread of 10.5 may be way too much. I like the Packers to win, but Chicago should barely cover. This is actually the one I'd stay away from.

But even then, that means go against what I say.

Take Chicago with the points.