Jake Ciely

Weekly Fantasy Football: The Replacements

Created on Oct. 16, 2013 8:01 AM EST

Weekly Fantasy Football

And such is the luck of fantasy football… just as with poker. My opponent matched my Peyton Manning, Reggie Bush and Chiefs D/ST picks, so that was a wash. I had a nice game from Jamaal Charles and DeSean Jackson, yet even with a zero from Jimmy Graham, he prevailed. How? Well, he also had Knowshon Moreno and Justin Blackmon. What are you going to do? 176 points and a loss. On to Week 7 then…

Salary Cap Game (Details)

Ace in the Hole

Peyton Manning – Yes, good ol' Peyton disappointed last week… well, at least it's fun to say a two-TD day is disappointing. Manning has yet to have a game without at least two TDs, and the game against the Jaguars was his first without 300 yards (only missed by five). Now he faces the Colts. You don't think he'll be amped up and looking to make a statement? Don't swap him out of your lineup. That would just be crazy.

Five Card Stud(s)

LeSean McCoy – McCoy has been a stud this season, and now the Eagles and he head to Dallas. The entire NFC East is full of poor defenses, and the Cowboys – without DeMarcus Ware to boot – will struggle to stop Shady. He's the one high-priced RB/WR option I am more than willing to spend my money on.

Joseph Randle – The Cowboys fill-in. Lance Dunbar would have been the go-to option with DeMarco Murray out, but Dunbar is dealing with his own injuries. Randle isn't excellent at any facet, but he will see a heavy workload, and the Eagles defense is worse off than the Cowboys. The Redskins let Randle find the end zone on an unimpressive rushing total, but that's all it will take for a decent day again in Week 7.

Danny Woodhead – Even on Ryan Mathews' best night, Woodhead still had nine carries for 36 yards with five catches for 47. Remember, this is PPR scoring, and Woodhead ranks in the Top 10 for all running backs. At just $7.2 million – and facing the Jaguars! Seriously, look at what Knowshon Moreno just did to them – Woodhead should be on all lineups.

Jarrett Boykin – Who? Just the next Packers receiver to step up. Of course, his value is contingent on James Jones being out along with Randall Cobb, but even if Jones plays, Boykin will see enough three-WR sets to provide value on his $5.0 million price.

Wes Welker – If Manning is going to go off on the Colts, who do you think will be the main beneficiary? After all, it's Welker and not Demaryius Thomas leading the way in fantasy scoring. Welker has 122.8 PPR points on the season while Thomas sits at 113.8. That's not a huge gap, but what is, is the price difference between the two. Welker is just $8.8 million while Thomas is $11.0. There is no need to even look Thomas' way with Welker as an option.

Muck 'Em

Aaron Rodgers – Has there been a bigger QB disappointment this year? This is why you don't pay for quarterbacks, in weekly leagues or in seasonal drafts. Rodgers is the highest priced QB at $20.0 million, but he's just the seventh best QB for the season behind Jay Cutler and Tony Romo! With Randall Cobb out and Jones questionable (see above), Rodgers carries more risk than usual and is far from worth the largest cost at QB.

Ray Rice – Just 2.8 yards per carry. Yep, that's it for Rice this season. You can't blame him entirely, as the Ravens offense is sputtering, can't open up holes and is running just 40 percent of the time. Still, you have to be concerned with Rice's performance so far even with those other issues in Baltimore. When factoring in his $15.6 million price tag, you have a RB that shouldn’t be in lineups for the foreseeable future.

Larry Fitzgerald – Yes, I saw the huge TD play, and grimaced as he sat on one of my benches given his "50/50 status" earlier Sunday. For this week, I just won't risk him in any weekly lineup. The Cards play Thursday night – short turnaround with Fitz still nursing the injury – and they face the vaunted Seahawks defense. At $10.9 million, you should stay far away.

Fantasy Challenge Game (Details)

Broncos, again, check. Group 2 has me thinking the Bengals over the Packers given the aforementioned situation in Green Bay. If I like Randle given his matchup (and Romo as my flex play, FYI) then you know I like the Cowboys to put up big points. You have to stay away from the Titans with Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB (and their matchup) as well as the Texans facing the Chiefs on the road and with big questions at QB. The Jags could be the best grab in Group 8 against the Chargers defense… could be… they did score a bit last week after all.

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