William’s absence would be notable because his relationship with football has generally appeared more personal than ceremonial. He has visited England’s training camp and dressing room regularly, while his good luck message before the team’s 4-2 win over Croatia underlined his continued engagement.
A senior former royal aide described his interest as “authentic and heartfelt”, arguing that supporters quickly recognise whether public figures genuinely understand football culture.
That connection helped make his attendance at Euro 2024 in Germany a natural fit. He watched three England matches and presented himself as an active supporter rather than a distant dignitary.
The decision also follows a cautious pattern. William did not attend the 2018 World Cup in Russia, held soon after the Salisbury nerve agent attack, and missed the 2022 tournament in Qatar, with aides citing a demanding winter schedule.
He also stayed away from England’s appearance in the 2023 Women’s World Cup final, with the short trip to Sydney reportedly a factor.
Ed Owens said William understood that royal “soft power” remained “one of the monarchy’s most important modern roles”. That makes every overseas sporting appearance carry a diplomatic dimension, particularly after King Charles’ recent US visit and amid unresolved tensions involving Iran.
The next test will come if England or Scotland progress deep into the competition. A final appearance could turn an expected absence into a carefully judged royal intervention.