The report’s case for West Ham United is simple: more attacking options than most of their rivals.
That matters in the Championship. The clubs that cope best with injuries, rotation and the relentless schedule usually stay on top. If Bowen delivers that kind of return, West Ham will have the most reliable edge in the title race.
Middlesbrough are tipped for the second automatic place, and the key detail is that the report still likes them despite change in midfield.
That is often the Championship trade-off: lose one key player, replace him with numbers, energy and a clearer spread of responsibility. If Lankshear settles quickly, Middlesbrough should stay in the top-two fight.
The most volatile part of the forecast is the play-off picture.
The individual scoring projections add more intrigue. Cyle Larin is tipped for 25 goals, Raul Jimenez for 20, and Jimmy-Jay Morgan for 14. In a division this tight, one hot finisher can swing an entire promotion race.
The next clue will come once the early weeks settle. If West Ham turn depth into points, Boro find goals quickly and Birmingham stay in touch with the top six, this forecast will stop looking bold and start looking realistic.