Spain’s case is simple: balance.
The main point in Spain’s favour is that there is no obvious weakness. France, Argentina and England all carry title-level quality, but Spain appear to enter this stretch with the cleanest footballing profile.
Brazil belong firmly in the front rank, especially with Carlo Ancelotti reportedly central to the optimism around the squad. His calm, tournament-friendly approach could be a natural fit for a national team packed with attacking options.
But one storyline hangs over everything: Neymar. The report says he is in the preliminary squad picture, yet his physical condition remains the key uncertainty. If he is fit and sharp, Brazil’s creative level changes. If he is not, Brazil still have enough talent to contend, but the shape of the attack may need to shift.
France remain formidable, with the added edge of this reportedly being Didier Deschamps’ final tournament. Argentina, as defending champions, still have Lionel Messi as their reference point while younger players push for bigger roles. England also deserve a place near the top, driven by Harry Kane’s 55 goals in 49 games for Bayern Munich, as the report says.
Just behind them:
The next month will sharpen the order. Squad announcements, fitness calls and the final warm-up matches should tell us whether Spain can hold top billing - or whether Brazil, France or Argentina are ready to close the gap.