UEFA Plans Two-tier Qualifying for 2030 World Cup

Why UEFA wants the split

The report says the new plan would create two tiers.

  • A League 1 of 36 teams
  • A League 2 of 18 teams
  • Placement would reportedly be shaped by the 2028 Nations League

That would mean heavyweights no longer opening qualification against sides such as San Marino, Gibraltar or Andorra in the main phase. From UEFA’s perspective, that is a competitive balance argument as much as a commercial one. Fewer predictable scorelines should mean more meaningful fixtures, stronger television interest and less dead time in the calendar.

There is also a sporting fairness case. Smaller nations would still have a route to the World Cup, but against opponents closer to their own level.

A Swiss-style twist to qualifying

The report also says the format itself would change.

  • Every team would play six qualifiers
  • Opponents would come from different pots
  • Teams would not face every side home and away

That is a major break from the traditional group model. It also mirrors the scheduling logic used in modern club competitions: broader variety, fewer repeat fixtures, and a more standardised workload. Just as importantly, it would remove the current imbalance where some European sides can end up playing more qualifiers than others.

Nations League set for its own reboot

The reform would not stop there. Reports suggest the Nations League will also be reshaped from 2028.

  • Three divisions of 18 teams
  • Three groups of six in each division
  • Six matches per team
  • Promotion, relegation, semi-finals and final reportedly stay

If UEFA follows through, the next debate will be whether this genuinely protects smaller countries or simply pushes them further from the elite. Either way, the road to 2030 could look very different - and the details of qualification places and play-offs will be the next part of the story to watch.