The concern around Germany is not about pedigree. It is about trajectory.
That is the key point. Tournament football is ruthless when the baseline level is uncertain. If Germany win a soft group without authority, the first elite knockout opponent could expose them quickly. Reports suggest a potential meeting with France is one reason some observers are wary of backing them deep into the tournament.
The doubts around Belgium appear different. This is less about a brutal path and more about a cycle that may have passed its peak.
That is a familiar problem for aging contenders. Experience helps in group play, but knockout rounds usually demand either elite control or explosive match-winners.
The more interesting predictions are the optimistic ones.
That defensive platform matters. In tournament football, a team that gives little away can swing a tie with one moment. Senegal, meanwhile, fit the classic dark-horse profile: physical level, athletic depth, and enough edge to trouble bigger sides.
The next storyline is simple: whether these predictions hold once the opening matches begin on 11 June. Early group games will tell us if old powers like Germany and Belgium still have another gear - or if Senegal and Ecuador are ready to take the stage.