Iceland beat Bulgaria 3-0 in their only recorded meeting. Iceland have lost 4 of their last 10 matches, matching Bulgaria's 4 defeats over the same span. Iceland to win, expected score 1-2.
Recent home-and-away figures favour the visitors. Iceland average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded on the road, while Bulgaria average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded at home. That gap supports an Iceland win, though the teams' last-10 overall records counsel against expecting a rout: Bulgaria are 4W, 2D, 4L, against Iceland's 2W, 4D, 4L. A one-goal away margin fits the split better than a runaway result.
Orri Oskarsson gives Iceland's attack a focal point. He has scored three goals in the team's last five matches, finding the net in two; his three goals include a brace. He has also supplied two assists over that stretch. Bulgaria's 1.4 goals conceded per home match leaves room for him to influence the contest. Andri Gudjohnsen has scored twice in Iceland's last five, finding the net in two matches, and added one assist.
A 1-2 away win fits the scoring pattern: Iceland's 1.4 goals per away match is close to Bulgaria's 1.4 conceded at home, while Bulgaria's 1.0 home scoring average gives the hosts a plausible reply. Exactly three goals would also mean more than two: the visitors score twice, Bulgaria find one, and neither side needs an unusually high return. Iceland's 0.8 away goals conceded keeps a single home goal within reach.
1X2: Away @1.90
Iceland are 1.90 to win, and their 3-0 victory in the only recorded meeting supports the away win; our expected score is 1-2.
Goal Bounds: 3 @3.97
We predict Bulgaria 1-2 Iceland, a result that also wins Goal Bounds: 3 at bigger odds of 3.97.
Correct Score: 1:2 @8.70
We predict Bulgaria 1-2 Iceland, and this exact score pays 8.70.
Over/Under: Over 2.5 @2.10
We predict Bulgaria 1-2 Iceland, a result that also wins Over/Under: Over 2.5 at 2.10.
1X2: Away @1.90
Goal Bounds: 3 @3.97
Correct Score: 1:2 @8.70
Correct score [x:y]: 1:2 @8.60
Over/Under: Over 2.5 @2.10