Algeria vs Togo Preview: AFCON Qualifying Prediction

🔮 Prediction

Algeria have won 5 of their last 10 matches, compared with Togo's 3 wins in their last 10. Algeria have won all 3 of their recorded meetings with Togo, including a 5-1 victory in October 2024. Algeria to win, expected score 2-1.

Algeria's stronger recent run

Algeria's 5-3-2 record over their last 10 matches is stronger than Togo's 3-3-4, providing the clearest case for a home victory. Algeria average 2.0 goals, but also concede 1.8 per game. That defensive leak means a win need not be comfortable and keeps Togo in the contest.

Riyad Mahrez has scored twice across Algeria's last five matches, with both goals coming in one game as a brace. That gives the hosts a recent scoring threat, though Togo's average of 0.8 goals conceded per match makes them a difficult defence to break down.

Togo's resistance and the goal count

Togo average 1.4 goals, so the visitors have a route to scoring even as their last-10 record includes four defeats. Algeria's higher scoring average and stronger run point to the hosts having the edge, while their goals-against average leaves room for Togo to respond.

A 2-1 Algeria win brings those threads together: the hosts take the points, but Togo find the net. That scoreline means three goals in all and puts the match above 2.5. Algeria's scoring average, alongside the goals conceded by both sides, gives that outcome a plausible route.

📊 Key Stats

  • Algeria, last 10: 5W 3D 2L, 17 scored, 13 conceded
  • Togo, last 10: 3W 3D 4L, 10 scored, 11 conceded
  • Head-to-head, last 3 meetings: Algeria 3W 0D 0L against Togo; Algeria have won all 3
  • Algeria players to watch: Riyad Mahrez 2 goals in the last 5 matches

🎯 Betting Picks

1X2: Home @1.22
Algeria have won all three recorded meetings with Togo, including a 5-1 result, and have more wins in their last 10 matches. We expect a 2-1 home win, though the short 1.22 price and Togo's defensive record make this a cautious pick.

Goal Bounds: 3 @3.73
We predict Algeria 2-1 Togo, a result that also wins Goal Bounds: 3 at bigger odds of 3.73.

Correct Score: 2:1 @9.80
We predict Algeria 2-1 Togo, and this exact score pays 9.80.

Over/Under: Over 2.5 @1.72
We predict Algeria 2-1 Togo, a result that also wins Over/Under: Over 2.5 at 1.72.

Betting Tips:

  • 1X2: Home @1.22

  • Goal Bounds: 3 @3.73

  • Correct Score: 2:1 @9.80

  • Correct score [x:y]: 2:1 @9.20

  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 @1.72