Armenia have beaten Latvia in 4 of their 5 head-to-head meetings. Latvia have won 2 of their last 10 matches, while Armenia have lost 5 of their last 10. Armenia to win, expected score 0-1.
The case for an away win rests on a modest gap: Armenia average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Latvia average 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded. That balance gives Armenia the stronger platform, but points to a narrow victory rather than a high-scoring performance.
Arthur Garibyan has scored in two of Armenia's last five matches. That return gives the visitors a forward in form against a Latvia defence conceding 1.6 goals on average. If Armenia can create chances for him, one finish could prove enough to decide the game.
Latvia's scoring average makes a low total a plausible outcome. Armenia have also conceded 1.2 goals on average, so the numbers do not point to a wide-open match. A single goal would fit both a 0-1 Armenia win and a total below two.
Latvia's home setting offers a chance to keep the contest close, but their 0.6-goal average leaves little margin if Armenia score first. The visitors' better attacking return gives them a route to take all three points, while the teams' averages support a match decided by one goal rather than a flurry of scoring.
1X2: Away @2.45
Armenia average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, slightly better than Latvia's 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded; we expect a narrow 0-1 Armenia win.
Goal Bounds: 1 @3.83
We predict Latvia 0-1 Armenia, a result that also wins Goal Bounds: 1 at bigger odds of 3.83.
Correct Score: 0:1 @6.80
We predict Latvia 0-1 Armenia, and this exact score pays 6.80.
Over/Under: Under 1.5 @3.00
We predict Latvia 0-1 Armenia, a result that also wins Over/Under: Under 1.5 at 3.00.
1X2: Away @2.45
Goal Bounds: 1 @3.83
Correct Score: 0:1 @6.80
Correct score [x:y]: 0:1 @6.75
Over/Under: Under 1.5 @3.00